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Mark Lammey
MLB HR PICK
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Alec Burleson (STL)
To Hit a Home Run (+360)
We've got the Cardinals in Colorado, and as if Coors Field didn't already speak for itself, the Rockies are starting rookie righty Mason Adams. He's made just two big league starts, allowing a homer in each, and the Colorado bullpen is among the worst in baseball. We recently cashed with the reigning HR Derby champ Jordan Walker, and tonight, we're swapping to a lefty. Let's ride Burleson's 98th percentile slugging of .520 for his 22nd homer.
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Howard Bender
MLB STOLEN BASE PICK
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Cooper Pratt (MIL)
To Steal a Base (+511)
You're telling me we get Pratt and his 88th percentile sprint speed against Andrew Abbott and the Reds' bottom-10 caught stealing rate on the year? I'm intrigued! Let's chase a big hit! Both Tyler Stephenson and Jose Trevino have below league average caught stealing rates when working in tandem with Abbott, and the Cincinnati southpaw is one of just six starters to have allowed at least 17 stolen bases on the year! Pratt has a .409 AVG and .423 OBP over his last seven games, and while his numbers overall against southpaws aren't as strong as they are against RHP, he does have a 9.6% walk rate against LHP, and in the second half, his OBP against LHP sits at a respectable .321 mark.
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