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Good Morning!
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Dallas goes primetime for three straight weeks starting tonight, and about the only thing holding this total down is Baker Mayfield being out. Mark is on the over anyway: the Cowboys averaged nearly 30 a game at home last season, their team total alone sits at 30.5, and Tampa was happy to let a rookie drop back 35 times last Sunday. Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET from AT&T Stadium on Prime Video.
Here's what you need to know today.
Content & SEO Manager, Fantasy Alarm
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3 THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW TODAY
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Mark Is On The Over 46.5 |
Dallas averaged 29.9 a game at home last season. Their team total is 30.5.
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No Baker Mayfield Tonight |
Rookie Jalon Daniels takes over, and Dallas is favoured by 8.5.
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Dallas Just Won A 34-30 Shootout |
CeeDee Lamb went for 17-189-1 and Javonte Williams scored three times.
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Dallas has allowed a 60.6% success rate on opponent dropbacks this season, the highest rate in the NFL. Tampa gets rookie QB Jalon Daniels tonight, but that secondary has been vulnerable all year.
Source: Fantasy Alarm Analytics |
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TODAY'S FEATURED STORY
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NFL PREDICTIONS FREE
Mark Lammey opens Week 5 at AT&T Stadium, where a Baker Mayfield-less Tampa side walks into a Dallas team that just won a 34-30 shootout in Houston. He lands on the over 46.5, with the full spread, injury report and how to watch alongside it.
Read the Full Article >
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TODAY'S EXCLUSIVE PICK
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Mark Lammey
NFL FIRST TD PICK
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Cade Otton (TB)
First TD Scorer (+3000)
Tampa let rookie QB Jalon Daniels throw 27 times in his debut (plus more that led to some of his eight rushes), and that wasn't even a shootout. He has a yardage prop of around 180 while Egbuka and Godwin have receiving props in the high 20's and low 30's. Well, those yards have to go somewhere, so why not the TE? He's had six targets in three straight games, and oh yeah - the Cowboys defense is still terrible.
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Mark's full TNF breakdown is above with the anytime TD board and the showdown playbook beside it, and the Week 5 straight-up picks are there for anyone already looking past tonight to Sunday. Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET from AT&T Stadium on Prime Video, with Mark on the over 46.5 in the featured piece. Tonight's lone exclusive is the longest shot he has given us yet: Cade Otton to open the scoring at +3000, on the logic that with Mayfield out and both Tampa receivers carrying modest yardage props, those targets have to land somewhere. Good luck tonight.
— The Fantasy Alarm Team · Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+ where applicable. Must be present in a legal betting jurisdiction.
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