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Good Afternoon!

Lamar Jackson's return lasted exactly one snap on Sunday: thumb into a defender's helmet, surgery required, and off to IR. With Tyler Huntley out as well, Baltimore turn to emergency third-stringer Joe Fagnano, and the total has fallen from a lookahead 48.5 all the way to 40.5. Mark is on the under anyway, with Jacksonville carrying the best run defense in the league.

Here's what you need to know today.

Tristan Abeyta
Content & SEO Manager, Fantasy Alarm
Parker Washington on the carry

3 THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW TODAY

1
Lamar Lasted One Snap
Thumb into a helmet on his first play back. Surgery, and now IR.
2
The Total Has Fallen To 40.5
It opened at 48.5 on the lookahead line. Mark is still on the under.
3
Fagnano Is The Third-Stringer
Huntley is out too, so Baltimore's emergency option gets the start.
Fantasy Alarm By The Numbers
83.3%
The Ravens have allowed touchdowns on 83.3% of opponent red-zone trips over their last three games, a real worry against Jacksonville.
Source: Fantasy Alarm Analytics
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TODAY'S FEATURED STORY

Jaguars vs Ravens TNF Predictions
NFL PREDICTIONS
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Jaguars vs. Ravens Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 9 Thursday Night Football, 11/5

Mark Lammey opens Week 9 at M&T Bank Stadium, where Lamar Jackson's one-snap return has left Baltimore starting their emergency third-string quarterback. The total has collapsed from 48.5 to 40.5 and he is still taking the under, with Jacksonville the best run defense in the league.

Read the Full Article >

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TODAY'S EXCLUSIVE PICKS

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Mark Lammey
NFL FIRST TD PICK
Parker Washington (JAX)
First TD Scorer (+1200)
The low total suggests that not a ton of scoring should be done, but the spread also suggests that whatever scoring does happen, should be coming from the Jags. While the Ravens secondary has a great player in Kyle Hamilton, others like Marlon Humphrey and Nate Wiggins can be extremely inconsistent. They're also just better against the run period, and with the explosive play-ability of Washington, we love this value.
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Howard Bender
NFL RECEIVING PROP
Josh Cuevas (BAL)
Over 7.5 Receiving Yards
While the Jaguars do a nice job covering the tight end, the Ravens are likely to deploy a ton of 12 and 13-personnel and keep the passing to short high-percentage throws. QB Joe Fagnano is going to lean on his tight ends so while the Jags focus on Mark Andrews, Cuevas should steal a few targets and clear this total for us.
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Mark's full TNF breakdown is above with the player props and the anytime TD board beside it, and the Week 9 sleepers and tight end rankings are there for anyone already building toward Sunday. Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET from M&T Bank Stadium on Prime Video, Jacksonville are -10 and the total sits at 40.5, with Mark on the under as Derrick Henry runs into the best run defense in the league. Both exclusives come from that same game at opposite ends: Mark wants Parker Washington to open the scoring at +1200, while Howard likes Josh Cuevas to clear 7.5 yards as the Ravens lean on heavy personnel and short throws. Good luck tonight.

— The Fantasy Alarm Team · Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+ where applicable. Must be present in a legal betting jurisdiction.