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Good Morning!
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The Rams opened this season with three straight primetime games and now close Week 5 with another, hosting Josh Allen at SoFi. Mark is not buying the superteam billing: he has Buffalo +3.5 and is sprinkling the money line, on the basis that Allen can put 30 on anybody, including a Myles Garrett-less Rams defense. Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on ESPN and ABC.
Here's what you need to know today.
Content & SEO Manager, Fantasy Alarm
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3 THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW TODAY
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Mark Likes Buffalo +3.5 |
He'd take the Bills at +2.5 too, and is sprinkling the money line.
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The Rams Are In Primetime Again |
Three straight to open the year, and now the Week 5 nightcap at SoFi.
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Palmer Out, Moore Questionable |
Which is a large part of why both exclusives land on the Buffalo tight end.
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Puka Nacua's 30.0% target share since the start of last season ranks in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
Source: Fantasy Alarm Analytics |
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TODAY'S FEATURED STORY
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NFL PREDICTIONS FREE
Mark Lammey closes Week 5 at SoFi, where the preseason Super Bowl favourites host Josh Allen in their fourth primetime game of the year. He lands on Buffalo +3.5, with the total at 54.5 and the full injury picture alongside it.
Read the Full Article >
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TODAY'S EXCLUSIVE PICKS
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Mark Lammey
NFL FIRST TD PICK
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Dalton Kincaid (BUF)
First TD Scorer (+2000)
Bills vs. Rams on MNF is as good as it gets, and we've already got a pick on the side for this potential Super Bowl preview. With a huge total of 54.5, plenty of scoring is expected, so let's enjoy some fun and huge value with a first TD scorer. DJ Moore is banged up and Josh Palmer is out, so Buffalo needs another big game from their TE like he did when they were in primetime on TNF with 95 yards and a TD.
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Howard Bender
NFL RECEIVING PROP
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Dalton Kincaid (BUF)
Under 55.5 Receiving Yards
Guarding against the tight end position has been a strength of this Rams defense and against the likes of George Kittle and Isaiah Likely, they've held them to under 30 receiving yards per game. With or without DJ Moore, the Bills have enough receiving options that Kincaid will join the list of TE-unders that have hit each of the first four weeks.
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Mark's full MNF breakdown is above with the best bets, the prop board and the showdown playbook beside it, and the MLB best bets cover tonight's postseason card. Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET from SoFi on ESPN and ABC, the total sits at 54.5, and Mark has Buffalo +3.5 in the featured piece. Both exclusives then land on the same man from opposite directions: Mark wants Dalton Kincaid to open the scoring at +2000, Howard wants him under 55.5 receiving yards. A short touchdown and a quiet night would cash them both. Good luck tonight.
— The Fantasy Alarm Team · Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+ where applicable. Must be present in a legal betting jurisdiction.
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