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Good Morning!
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Week 6 opens with a Super Bowl rematch and a total of 41.5, which tells you roughly what the market makes of these two defenses. Mark is on the under in the featured piece, and his reasoning is pace: both sides rank outside the top 20 and go no-huddle on 5% of snaps or fewer. Pat Surtain is officially out for Denver, which is where both exclusives come in. Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on Prime Video.
Here's what you need to know today.
Content & SEO Manager, Fantasy Alarm
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3 THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW TODAY
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Mark Is On The Under 41.5 |
Both teams rank outside the top 20 in pace and rarely go no-huddle.
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Surtain Is Officially Out |
Which is why both exclusives lean on the Seattle passing game tonight.
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It's A Super Bowl Rematch |
Seattle and Denver open Week 6 at Empower Field at Mile High.
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Seattle is converting 44.5% of its plays into successful plays, ranking 13th in the NFL entering tonight's matchup against Denver.
Source: Fantasy Alarm Analytics |
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TODAY'S FEATURED STORY
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NFL PREDICTIONS FREE
Mark Lammey opens Week 6 with a Super Bowl rematch at Mile High, where two of the league's better defenses meet on a total of 41.5. He lands on the under, with the full spread, injury report and how to watch alongside it.
Read the Full Article >
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TODAY'S EXCLUSIVE PICKS
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Mark Lammey
NFL FIRST TD PICK
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AJ Barner (SEA)
First TD Scorer (+1800)
The Seahawks TE doesn't get a ton of attention in the media (thanks Jaxon Smith-Njigba), but he's a guy that Sam Darnold relies on. Without Pat Surtain 100% healthy, Denver is going to need everyone focusing on JSN and opening things up in the middle. Travis Kelce led the Chiefs with 71 yards on MNF vs. Denver in Week 1 and Rams TE Tyler Higbee scored on the Broncos in Week 3 SNF, so let's keep the primetime TE theme alive.
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Howard Bender
NFL SPREAD PICK
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Seattle Seahawks
-2.5
The Broncos are still finding their way with Sean Payton taking back play-calling duties and using different personnel packages. The offense is likely to stall at times. With no Patrick Surtain they're also going to have trouble stopping JSN and the Seattle offense. Take the road favorite and lay the points.
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Mark's full TNF breakdown is above with the anytime TD board beside it, and the Week 6 picks against the spread, the matchups chart and Start 'Em Sit 'Em cover everything you need before Sunday. Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET from Empower Field on Prime Video, the total sits at 41.5, and Mark is taking the under. Both exclusives then lean on Seattle with Surtain ruled out: Mark wants AJ Barner to open the scoring at +1800, and Howard is laying the 2.5 with the road favorite. Good luck tonight.
— The Fantasy Alarm Team · Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+ where applicable. Must be present in a legal betting jurisdiction.
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