FANTASYALARM THE DAILY ALARM
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Good Morning!

Monday night closes Week 6 in Santa Clara, where San Francisco are heavy home favorites on a high total and Brock Purdy sits in the MVP conversation. Mark reads that as the 49ers scoring early, and he has a specific idea about who opens it. Howard has taken the same game from the other side, on the assumption Washington spend the night chasing and throwing.

Here's what you need to know today.

Tristan Abeyta
Content & SEO Manager, Fantasy Alarm
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3 THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW TODAY

1
The 49ers Are Big Home Favorites
Mark reads the high total as San Francisco scoring early and often.
2
Washington Struggle Versus TEs
Second-most fantasy points allowed to the position, two seasons running.
3
McLaurin Has No Designation
So Howard expects Scary Terry to see his usual seven targets tonight.
Fantasy Alarm By The Numbers
51.9%
The 49ers have converted 27 of 52 third-down attempts, 51.9%, the NFL's best rate this season. Washington rank 29th in third-down offense at 31.9%.
Source: Fantasy Alarm Analytics
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TODAY'S FEATURED STORY

Commanders vs 49ers MNF Predictions
NFL PREDICTIONS
FREE

Commanders vs. 49ers Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 6 Monday Night Football, 10/19

Mark Lammey closes out Week 6 in Santa Clara, where a 49ers side converting third downs better than anyone in the league hosts a Washington team ranked 29th at doing the same. The full odds, the injury picture and his expert pick on the night.

Read the Full Article >

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TODAY'S EXCLUSIVE PICKS

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Mark Lammey
NFL FIRST TD PICK
George Kittle (SF)
First TD Scorer (+800)
This isn't our longest longshot for the 1st TD action in primetime, but we love the spot too much. Firstly, the 49ers are huge favorites at home with a high total, suggesting that they'll be scoring early and often. Brock Purdy is also a top MVP candidate, and the Washington D struggles vs. TEs. Both last season and so far this season, they've allowed the second-most fantasy points to TEs, so let's see Kittle's fifth TD to start the scoring tonight.
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Howard Bender
NFL RECEPTIONS PROP
Terry McLaurin (WAS)
Over 3.5 Receptions
With no injury designation, McLaurin should sit comfortably as Jayden Daniels top target in a game we expect the Commanders to be throwing. With an average of nearly seven targets per game, Scary Terry should be able to find enough separation to come down with the catches we need.
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Mark's full MNF breakdown is above with the anytime TD board, the showdown playbook and the best bets beside it, and the MLB showdown playbook covers Guardians-Rays if the ALCS is where your evening really is. San Francisco are home favorites on a high total, which is exactly where Mark's +800 on George Kittle comes from: Washington have allowed the second-most fantasy points to tight ends two seasons running. Howard reads the same game from the other sideline, taking Terry McLaurin over 3.5 receptions on the basis the Commanders spend the night throwing. Good luck tonight.

— The Fantasy Alarm Team · Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+ where applicable. Must be present in a legal betting jurisdiction.